Comments for Dunbar Little League http://dunbarbaseball.ca Community Little League Baseball Thu, 19 May 2011 18:37:22 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 Comment on Minor B Team Balancing by jmcdDLL http://dunbarbaseball.ca/2011/05/minor-b-team-balancing/comment-page-1/#comment-6 jmcdDLL Thu, 19 May 2011 18:37:22 +0000 http://dunbarbaseball.ca/?p=1271#comment-6 Thanks Walter, Here are my thoughts. The major factor still impacting team formation is friend requests. If we had evaluations we should then go to downplaying friend requests which most people would object to strenuously. There will always be top teams and bottom teams. It has to be that way. The fact is that with 12 teams, winning and losing completely randomly (i.e. perfectly equal teams and a coin toss), the chance that at least one team would lose 6 games in a row is not that small....~20% of the time that would happen by chance even with perfectly balanced teams. In such a perfect world the number of teams expected to have the following records after 6 games is: 5-6 wins expect 1.3 teams with such a record (we observed 2) 2-4 wins expect 9.4 (observed 9) 0-1 wins expect 1.3 (observed 1) (the observed numbers are estimated by records after the first 6 games if 7 have been played) Of course one expects though some imbalance in the teams---if you assign players randomly, then some teams will by chance end up stronger than others because there is a great deal of variation in skill out there.However, the observed distribution of wins-and losses is at least so-far not significantly different from what you would expect by chance even for even teams, which thus suggests that overall the teams are actually pretty well- balanced.. I will be interested to see how close the final numbers are at the end of the season... Thanks Walter,
Here are my thoughts. The major factor still impacting team formation is friend requests. If we had evaluations we should then go to downplaying friend requests which most people would object to strenuously. There will always be top teams and bottom teams. It has to be that way.

The fact is that with 12 teams, winning and losing completely randomly (i.e. perfectly equal teams and a coin toss), the chance that at least one team would lose 6 games in a row is not that small….~20% of the time that would happen by chance even with perfectly balanced teams.

In such a perfect world the number of teams expected to have the following records after 6 games is:

5-6 wins expect 1.3 teams with such a record (we observed 2)

2-4 wins expect 9.4 (observed 9)

0-1 wins expect 1.3 (observed 1)

(the observed numbers are estimated by records after the first 6 games if 7 have been played)

Of course one expects though some imbalance in the teams—if you assign players randomly, then some teams will by chance end up stronger than others because there is a great deal of variation in skill out there.However, the observed distribution of wins-and losses is at least so-far not significantly different from what you would expect by chance even for even teams, which thus suggests that overall the teams are actually pretty well- balanced.. I will be interested to see how close the final numbers are at the end of the season…

]]> Comment on Composite Bats Banned in Little League by MIchelle Lim http://dunbarbaseball.ca/2011/01/composite-bats-baned-in-little-league/comment-page-1/#comment-4 MIchelle Lim Sun, 02 Jan 2011 20:02:16 +0000 http://dunbarbaseball.ca/?p=850#comment-4 A great decision that should keep all players safer. As Joe said, DLL wisely opted not to allow full composite bats for our regular season as our board had concerns regarding player safety, however I am glad now that all leagues will also have to follow this. As well now tourney play won't just be home run hitting contests as with about a 200 foot fenced and juiced up bats that is exactly what had been happening. Good move Little League International, and looking forward to the 2011 season here at DLL. Michelle A great decision that should keep all players safer. As Joe said, DLL wisely opted not to allow full composite bats for our regular season as our board had concerns regarding player safety, however I am glad now that all leagues will also have to follow this. As well now tourney play won’t just be home run hitting contests as with about a 200 foot fenced and juiced up bats that is exactly what had been happening. Good move Little League International, and looking forward to the 2011 season here at DLL. Michelle

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